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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+5.51vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.86vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+4.44vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+5.32vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14+2.87vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.91-2.99vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-4.87vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-1.56vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.28-1.58vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-4.74vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.92-0.35vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.21-4.15vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.35-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.07-1.26vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.05-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.44Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.63Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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8.87University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.01Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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3.13Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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7.44Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.42Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.26Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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11.65Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.85William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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10.36Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.5% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 27.0% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 18.3% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.