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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.96vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+1.92vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.52vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+2.16vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.80vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.21+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.77vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.91-1.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+0.31vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.92+1.70vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.28-3.59vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.59-5.30vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.59-6.30vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-0.35-4.59vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.05-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.07-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.92Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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3.52Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.16Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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3.2Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.7William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.59Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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9.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.7Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.7Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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7.7Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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10.41Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 16.7% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.4% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 24.0% | 22.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 26.5% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 16.7% | 59.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.