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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+6.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+4.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.48vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+2.73vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+0.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.89vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80+0.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-0.67vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.68vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-5.45vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-3.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.94vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.60vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Christina Johns | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.