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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+5.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+5.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.14+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.82+5.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.87+4.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.30+0.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.75+1.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.53+0.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+0.71vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-0.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-3.53vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.18-6.84vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.08-6.99vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.12-3.84vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.41-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tufts University1.438.2%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.518.8%1st Place
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4.44Brown University2.1418.8%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island0.824.9%1st Place
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9.08Brown University0.875.5%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island1.307.7%1st Place
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9.48Brown University0.754.7%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.6%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island0.533.5%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.5%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.9%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.5%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.187.9%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University1.085.7%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island0.121.7%1st Place
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10.92Brown University0.413.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.8% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Savannah Young | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emery Diemar | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Ella Demand | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Meara Conley | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.9% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 20.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.