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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+3.00vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+4.06vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+6.25vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11+2.02vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.80vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.28+2.49vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21+1.58vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.19vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.47vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.11-7.36vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.91-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-1.05-0.88vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-0.35-4.60vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.92-4.39vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.07-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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6.06Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.02Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.2Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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8.49Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.58William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.64Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.64Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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10.4Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.61Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.7% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 18.1% | 57.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.