← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Washington College2.11+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.11+2.96vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+5.29vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University2.35-1.81vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University0.91+0.64vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.59+0.45vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.21+0.66vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech0.59-1.55vs Predicted
-
10University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.21vs Predicted
-
11Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-4.73vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University0.28-3.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Rochester-1.05-0.87vs Predicted
-
14Catholic University of America-0.35-3.66vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware-2.07-2.28vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University-0.92-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
-
3.5Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.96Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
-
9.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
-
3.19Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
-
6.64Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
-
7.45Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.66William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
-
7.45Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
-
6.27Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
-
8.48Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
-
10.34Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
-
13.72University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
-
11.62Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 22.5% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.0% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 57.4% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.