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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+3.00vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.90vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.55vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+2.18vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14+2.94vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.28+1.41vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.48vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.91-2.47vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.48vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-0.35-0.72vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.21-3.40vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.05-1.93vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.92-3.40vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-2.07-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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5.9Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.55Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.18Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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3.21Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.94University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.52Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.53Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.52Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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10.28Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.6William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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11.6Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 17.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.7% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 23.7% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 22.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 17.6% | 57.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.