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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+6.39vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.88vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+3.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+5.33vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.91-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14+2.90vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.21+1.59vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.11-4.33vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-2.88vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-6.82vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-3.61vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.92-1.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.05-1.85vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.28-6.36vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America-0.35-5.83vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.07-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.88Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.53Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.09Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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8.9University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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8.59William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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3.67Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.12Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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3.18Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.39Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.65Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.64Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.17Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 16.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.7% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 23.4% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 28.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 58.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.