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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.10vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+1.90vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+2.98vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+2.18vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59+2.60vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.91+0.63vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59+0.60vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.28+0.41vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.21-1.33vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.68vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.11-8.34vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh0.14-4.15vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.92-2.13vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.07-1.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.05-4.10vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America-0.35-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.9Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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5.98Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.18Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.6Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.63Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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7.6Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.67William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.66Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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8.85University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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11.87Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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10.11Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 26.4% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.2% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 16.2% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.