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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+3.03vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.51vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+4.41vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+2.17vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.91+1.65vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.78vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21+0.64vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59-1.59vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-6.92vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-0.35-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.07+1.73vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.42vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.28-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.05-3.12vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.92-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Webb Institute1.910.2%1st Place
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3.51Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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7.41Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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6.17Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.07Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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8.64William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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7.41Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.08Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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10.24Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.65Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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11.59Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 21.8% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.2% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 61.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Elias | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 26.9% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.