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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+4.55vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+5.97vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+1.65vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34+1.95vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.27+5.71vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute0.94-1.73vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.59-1.82vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.47-2.45vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.26-1.17vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22+0.60vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-1.60vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.68-6.93vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.19-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-0.89-5.15vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-8.76vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-2.13-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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7.97Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.65Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.95Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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10.71Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.27Webb Institute0.940.2%1st Place
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5.18Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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5.55Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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7.83Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.6Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.07William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 16.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 12.2% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.