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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+4.33vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.66vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.72+1.68vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.26+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.13+6.73vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.68-2.26vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.78-3.44vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-0.38-1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.89-1.48vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.47-6.67vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.59-7.71vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-4.60vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.19-2.21vs Predicted
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17Villanova University-1.27-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.68Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.64Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.74William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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4.56Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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10.48Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.09Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.33Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.29Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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9.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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10.58Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 24.0% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.