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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+3.69vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.66vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+2.34vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.68+0.82vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.78-0.34vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.59-1.00vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38+0.97vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.54vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47-3.66vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.89-0.50vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.26-3.31vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.27-1.35vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.19-1.11vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-1.22-5.50vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-2.13-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
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5.66Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.34Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.82William and Mary0.680.2%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.0Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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7.97Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.34Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.69Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.65Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.45Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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10.5Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 14.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 15.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 22.5% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.