← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.48+6.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.93+7.62vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.27+5.28vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.33+4.16vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.29+3.04vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+4.82vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.10vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.45-0.51vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.50vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.48-2.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.34vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.73-1.53vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.80-2.60vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.18-5.16vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.81-4.79vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.55vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.25Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.62University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.28Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.16Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.04Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.82U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
7.49Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.31Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
13.34University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.47Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
10.4University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.84Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.21Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
9.45University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Emily Billing | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Christina Johns | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 37.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.