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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.30+5.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+5.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+7.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82+3.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+4.20vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.53+2.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.14-5.61vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-3.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.43-5.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.04vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.87-4.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-5.50vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.75-6.39vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.41-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Tufts University1.518.5%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island1.307.6%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.6%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.086.5%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island0.825.7%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.5%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island0.534.4%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.3%1st Place
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4.39Brown University2.1417.4%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.187.3%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University1.437.7%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
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9.04Brown University0.875.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.5%1st Place
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9.61Brown University0.754.6%1st Place
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10.65Brown University0.412.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Meara Conley | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% |
| Cameron Silvers | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Ella Demand | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 17.4% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.0% |
| Savannah Young | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Emery Diemar | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.