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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.59+4.05vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.45vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.94+1.14vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.68+0.85vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+0.93vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38+1.99vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47-1.57vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.47-2.57vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.78vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-0.90vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.19+1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-2.08+0.43vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.26-5.18vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.13-1.38vs Predicted
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15Villanova University-1.09-5.01vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-1.22-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.14Webb Institute0.940.2%1st Place
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4.85William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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5.93Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.99Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.43Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.43Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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9.1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.82Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.99Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.3Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camden Ward | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 17.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.