← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.47+4.39vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute0.94+2.10vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University0.34+2.74vs Predicted
-
4Washington College0.59+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.79-0.30vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+1.22vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.47-1.61vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.68-3.11vs Predicted
-
9Catholic University of America-0.38-1.06vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-0.26-2.44vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.19+0.61vs Predicted
-
13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-3.81vs Predicted
-
14University of Pittsburgh-2.13-1.26vs Predicted
-
15University of Rochester-2.08-2.45vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-1.22-5.66vs Predicted
-
17Villanova University-1.09-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.39Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.1Webb Institute0.940.2%1st Place
-
5.74Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.11Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.7Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
-
5.39Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
-
4.89William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
-
7.94Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.56Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
12.61University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of Rochester-2.080.0%1st Place
-
10.34Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.95Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Lawrence | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 23.5% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.