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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+3.75vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+3.53vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.68+1.99vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.34+2.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+0.53vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.26+2.06vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38+1.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.89+0.97vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22+0.87vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute0.72-5.89vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-0.08-4.52vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.13-0.99vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-2.19-1.98vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.59-11.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.53Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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6.07Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.53Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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8.06Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.43Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.87Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.11Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
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7.48Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.36Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 24.9% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.