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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+4.69vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.95vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.59+2.30vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+4.35vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.19+7.96vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.26+2.06vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.72-2.07vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78+1.68vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.45vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.68-5.84vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-2.13+0.95vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-0.08-5.34vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-8.31vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-9.98vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-0.89-6.08vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-1.22-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.95Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.3Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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8.35Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.06Syracuse University-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.93Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
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9.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.16William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.66Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.02Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.83Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 24.4% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 14.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.