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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+4.70vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+6.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.89+6.90vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+1.70vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+1.14vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.26+2.10vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.94-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.19+4.93vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.79-4.11vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22+0.92vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-0.08-3.43vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.78-2.27vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.59-7.36vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.68-8.65vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-7.43vs Predicted
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17University of Pittsburgh-2.13-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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8.24Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rochester-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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6.14Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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8.1Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.43Webb Institute0.940.2%1st Place
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12.93University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.89Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.92Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.57Villanova University-0.080.1%1st Place
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9.73Rochester Institute of Technology-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.64Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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5.35William and Mary0.680.1%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 23.3% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 22.7% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.