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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+5.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+6.16vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+3.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+7.02vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+0.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.36+1.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71-1.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.74+1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.77vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.77-4.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-3.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-3.56vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.01-4.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-1.94vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-6.10vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.05vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.39North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.06Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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14.95Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Justin Lim | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 21.9% | 32.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.