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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+5.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.28+6.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+3.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36+4.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.90vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+0.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05+1.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71-2.22vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.77-3.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-5.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.11+1.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-2.66vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University2.01-4.58vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-6.01vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-6.13vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.88Yale University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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13.35Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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9.42North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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14.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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9.99Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Lim | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Adam Larson | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 23.1% | 27.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 19.7% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.