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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+7.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+7.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+7.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+1.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-0.35vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+0.92vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.28+0.57vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01+0.67vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.77-3.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-2.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-4.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-2.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-3.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-3.92vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-2.86vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.19-1.30vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.1Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.57Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.67North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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13.14Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
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14.75Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| William Michels | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Lim | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Alex Abate | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 19.2% | 46.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.