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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+6.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+4.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.87+6.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82+4.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+4.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.53+3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.30-0.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.75+0.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-2.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-2.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-2.57vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.41-2.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-3.18vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.08-7.87vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.12-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Tufts University1.188.4%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University1.439.2%1st Place
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9.14Brown University0.874.9%1st Place
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4.52Brown University2.1418.9%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.824.8%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.5%1st Place
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10.48University of Rhode Island0.533.5%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island1.308.6%1st Place
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9.43Brown University0.753.6%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University1.518.5%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.3%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.2%1st Place
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10.92Brown University0.412.8%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.8%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.086.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island0.122.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Flores | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Savannah Young | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Clark Morris | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% |
| Meara Conley | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 17.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.