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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.61vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+6.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+2.70vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29+0.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-1.45vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.64vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-5.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.73vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-4.84vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.59Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emily Billing | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Christina Johns | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.