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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.28+7.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+4.70vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+2.83vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+4.00vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.77+1.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.13vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98+1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.44vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52+5.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-0.31vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.36-3.26vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.01-3.32vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.05-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.19+0.70vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-5.22vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.71-9.84vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.43-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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15.04Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.68North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.93Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 21.8% | 32.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 44.1% |
| Everett Nash | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.