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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+7.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+4.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+7.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+2.93vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+1.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.28+2.69vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+2.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-0.03vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.36-0.64vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98+0.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.79-0.97vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-7.58vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-9.35vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-3.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.05-7.23vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.75North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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14.78Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Alex Abate | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Everett Nash | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 23.0% | 31.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.