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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+4.89vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.74+9.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+3.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.28+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80+1.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+3.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36+0.20vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University2.01+0.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.40vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98-1.07vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.05-2.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-5.15vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-7.74vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.19-0.34vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.11-3.79vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.71-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.66North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.8Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
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13.21Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Justin Lim | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| John Eastman | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 28.5% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 20.1% | 44.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.