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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+5.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.39+5.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.07+6.04vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+2.79vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.78+4.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.54vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+3.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64+0.76vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-3.42vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.04-2.73vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.47vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-3.24vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.31-8.14vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.18vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.79North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.44Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.76Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.58Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.82Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Scott Harris | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Berta Puig | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Maks Groom | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Colin Snow | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 36.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.