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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+4.60vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+3.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.35vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+1.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-2.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.27vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.53vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.73-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.68vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.81-5.74vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.27-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.6Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Emily Billing | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 36.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.