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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+9.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.87+6.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+4.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.75+5.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14-0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+0.98vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.08+1.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.41+2.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.97vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-3.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.53-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.30-5.67vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.82-4.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-3.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.88vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.494.2%1st Place
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8.9Brown University0.874.9%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.188.2%1st Place
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9.55Brown University0.754.7%1st Place
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4.52Brown University2.1416.8%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University1.437.4%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.086.2%1st Place
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10.78Brown University0.412.9%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.5%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island0.122.7%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University1.518.5%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island0.533.3%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island1.307.7%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island0.825.4%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.6%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.9%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Demand | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Savannah Young | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Emery Diemar | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| Clark Morris | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Meara Conley | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.