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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+8.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+5.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+3.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+5.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.39+1.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.64+3.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07+0.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.48vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.78+0.28vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.23vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32+0.15vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.41-5.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.44vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-2.59vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.31-8.15vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.55Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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12.41Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.81Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Scott Harris | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Maks Groom | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Berta Puig | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lars Osell | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Colin Snow | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 36.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.