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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+7.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.39+4.71vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+6.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.59vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.41+1.44vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-0.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.31-0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+0.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-4.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-1.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.23vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-1.87vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.96-1.88vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.20vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.04-7.84vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.65-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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7.71Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.41Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.89North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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13.12Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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14.8Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Berta Puig | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Michael Burns | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 14.7% |
| Colin Snow | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 34.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.