← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.04+8.23vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.41+5.76vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+3.93vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.62+2.63vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.94vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.07+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Olin College of Engineering0.46+7.67vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.18vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College1.64+1.63vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.78+0.40vs Predicted
-
11University of Texas0.65+3.25vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.16+0.83vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.77-3.05vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.63-7.57vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.39-7.41vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.36-8.18vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.96-3.68vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University2.54-11.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.23Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.76Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.63Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.95Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
14.67Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.63Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
14.25University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
-
12.83Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
-
9.95Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.59Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.82University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
13.32Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
-
6.86North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Berta Puig | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Burns | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Colin Snow | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 33.3% |
| Maks Groom | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 25.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 11.6% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Mason Stang | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| Scott Harris | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.