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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+5.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+5.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+4.69vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.78+6.00vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54+2.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+6.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+1.96vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.17vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.46+5.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-0.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-0.72vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-5.03vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.39-5.52vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.65-0.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-9.26vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.64-6.23vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.96-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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14.74Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.77Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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13.08Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Berta Puig | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Scott Harris | 9.3% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| Michael Burns | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 30.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Mason Stang | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 26.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.