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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+7.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+6.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+4.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+6.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.46vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54+1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.35vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.46+6.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.93vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-3.45vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-4.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-1.98vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-2.87vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-2.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.39-7.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-7.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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14.03Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.52Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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12.31Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Berta Puig | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Scott Harris | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colin Snow | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 42.0% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mason Stang | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Burns | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.