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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+5.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62-0.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.39-0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+1.24vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-1.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.16+1.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-0.38vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.46+1.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-3.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.63-8.37vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.07-7.15vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.64-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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14.32Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Berta Puig | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Michael Burns | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Flores | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Colin Snow | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 44.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Mason Stang | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.