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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+7.51vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+12.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.75vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+3.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.64+4.48vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-0.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.64vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.39-1.35vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32+0.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-5.36vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-6.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.62-8.44vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.63-9.42vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.28-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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14.01Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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10.48Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.83North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.65Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.54Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Colin Snow | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 20.3% | 33.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Berta Puig | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Burns | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Scott Harris | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 19.7% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.