← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.07+7.04vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.36+4.97vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.11+1.46vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.65+5.39vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.31+1.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.24+1.29vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.55-0.85vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.60vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.74+0.06vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.83-0.97vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.13-3.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.56+1.63vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.73-0.28vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-2.58vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-5.87vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.90-7.41vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College0.17-2.38vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.04Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.97Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
4.46Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
9.39North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
6.94Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.29University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
6.15Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.06Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.03Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
13.63University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
-
12.72Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
-
11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.59Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
-
14.62Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
-
16.17Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sheridan | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 11.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 19.7% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.