← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.30+6.49vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.14+2.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.82+6.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.53+6.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.12+6.86vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.18+1.40vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.43-0.10vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+2.57vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.08-0.60vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-1.81vs Predicted
-
11Brown University0.87-1.92vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-0.34vs Predicted
-
13Brown University0.41-1.92vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.51-6.88vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-5.38vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-5.96vs Predicted
-
17Brown University0.75-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49University of Rhode Island1.308.2%1st Place
-
4.45Brown University2.1419.0%1st Place
-
9.12University of Rhode Island0.825.2%1st Place
-
10.38University of Rhode Island0.533.6%1st Place
-
11.86University of Rhode Island0.122.8%1st Place
-
7.4Tufts University1.187.1%1st Place
-
6.9Tufts University1.438.3%1st Place
-
10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.2%1st Place
-
8.4Tufts University1.086.3%1st Place
-
8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.2%1st Place
-
9.08Brown University0.875.0%1st Place
-
11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.8%1st Place
-
11.08Brown University0.412.5%1st Place
-
7.12Tufts University1.517.5%1st Place
-
9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.8%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.5%1st Place
-
9.63Brown University0.753.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.0% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Flores | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Savannah Young | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Clark Morris | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.