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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+8.38vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+4.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+5.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+2.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+2.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+0.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.07+0.83vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.74+0.99vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.11-4.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.90-1.25vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.96vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Texas0.56-0.91vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.17-0.46vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.31vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.24-9.60vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.73-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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6.92Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.96Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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4.31Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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9.34North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
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14.54Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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16.31Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Graham Ness | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.5% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| John Mason | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 19.7% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 55.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.