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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+6.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+6.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+3.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.00vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.11-0.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+0.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90+1.55vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.74+1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.13-1.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-0.98vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65+5.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-1.36vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.17+1.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-2.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-2.17vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-6.48vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.24-9.63vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.56-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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4.28Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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16.25Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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14.3Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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12.83Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.52North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.4% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 56.4% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.