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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+8.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+2.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+3.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.07+3.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.90+3.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+1.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24-0.99vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74+0.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.46vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65+5.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.31-4.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.17+1.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-8.15vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.33-4.44vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.56-2.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-5.22vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.77-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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4.34Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.02Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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16.23Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.14Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.31Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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5.85Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.56North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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12.47Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.4% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 56.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.4% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| John Mason | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 9.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.