← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.24+6.34vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.83+6.90vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.31+4.03vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+6.03vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.33+5.42vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.74+3.09vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.07+0.74vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.00vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+2.64vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.11-5.56vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.55-4.85vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.90-3.26vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.36-6.44vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.13-6.70vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas0.56-1.72vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.77-3.30vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College0.17-2.49vs Predicted
-
18Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.34University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.03Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
-
10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
10.42North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.09Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.74Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
-
4.44Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
6.15Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.74Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.56Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.3Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
13.28University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
-
12.7Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
14.51Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
-
16.12Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 18.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 10.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 24.4% | 20.4% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.