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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+3.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+4.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+5.69vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+2.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55-0.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.07+0.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.13-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.56+3.83vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.77+1.98vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.66vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.73-3.34vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.90-4.80vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.24-7.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.17-1.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-4.88vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.45Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Texas0.560.0%1st Place
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11.98Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.66Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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13.66Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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15.47Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 10.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 5.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Shea Smith | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 24.7% | 20.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.