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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+4.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.07vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.07+2.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36+0.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.31-1.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90-1.27vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-1.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.77+0.48vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.24-5.24vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-4.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-3.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.17-1.84vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.07Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.34Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.33Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.46Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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13.16Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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14.7Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 7.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 27.0% | 24.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.