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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+3.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+5.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+3.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+3.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+4.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+0.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+1.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73+0.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-3.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+0.72vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-4.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.61vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77-1.46vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.90-6.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.17-1.81vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.54Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.27Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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6.25Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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13.19Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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14.68Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 30.1% | 22.6% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.