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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.07+6.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+3.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+4.57vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.11-0.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+2.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.90-0.22vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.13-2.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.73+1.72vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-2.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-5.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.31-6.62vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.17-1.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-4.23vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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4.11Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.35Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.32Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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13.0Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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14.69Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sheridan | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Shea Smith | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 8.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 26.8% | 20.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 16.5% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.