← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College3.65+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.34vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College1.73+1.00vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University2.30-1.16vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.80-1.32vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University1.75-2.16vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University0.98-1.78vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University0.99-2.86vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04Washington College3.650.5%1st Place
-
3.34Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
-
5.0Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
3.84Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.68Villanova University1.800.1%1st Place
-
4.84Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.22Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
6.14Penn State University0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 45.4% | 26.1% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 15.4% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Gamber | 12.9% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 6.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 0.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| Paul Luisi | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 32.8% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 32.3% | 1.3% |
| Dennis Seuferling | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.