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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+6.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.75+7.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+4.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82+4.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+3.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-3.13vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12+1.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-0.23vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.53-2.49vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.41-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.30-7.64vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.08-7.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University0.87-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Tufts University1.187.8%1st Place
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9.46Brown University0.755.0%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University1.518.6%1st Place
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4.49Brown University2.1417.9%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island0.824.7%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.075.6%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.9%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University1.438.9%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.9%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island0.532.5%1st Place
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10.89Brown University0.413.5%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island1.308.2%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.085.3%1st Place
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9.11Brown University0.874.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Emery Diemar | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Clark Morris | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 17.9% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Ella Demand | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Jack Flores | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 20.4% |
| Meara Conley | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.4% |
| Cameron Silvers | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Savannah Young | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.