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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.00+3.46vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+1.82vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.21+1.10vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.74-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+0.21vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.79-0.05vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-3.32vs Predicted
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8-2.48+0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.12-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.82Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.1Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.02Oregon State University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.95Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.68Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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8.24-2.480.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 13.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Nikolo Vo | 14.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Luke Serra | 24.8% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 4.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 7.7% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 13.2% | 70.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 32.0% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.