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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.00+3.47vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+1.88vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.74+0.16vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.21-0.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.79+0.85vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.12-1.52vs Predicted
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9-2.48-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.88Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.16Oregon State University0.740.2%1st Place
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3.94Oregon State University0.210.2%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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3.58Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.24-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 13.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Luke Serra | 23.7% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nikolo Vo | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 9.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 18.5% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 32.5% | 12.9% |
| Ben Lewis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.