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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.00+3.48vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.21+2.24vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.79+2.98vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.74-0.93vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.12-0.48vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.41-4.35vs Predicted
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9-2.48-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.24Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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3.07Oregon State University0.740.2%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.65Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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8.25-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 11.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Nikolo Vo | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 24.0% | 7.7% |
| Luke Serra | 23.4% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 19.0% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Avey | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Kahle | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 29.2% | 14.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 13.5% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.