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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.00+3.49vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.74+1.29vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.21-0.01vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.79+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46-0.71vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.41-3.31vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.12-1.50vs Predicted
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9-2.48-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.29Oregon State University0.740.2%1st Place
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3.66Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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3.99Oregon State University0.210.2%1st Place
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5.85Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Washington-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.24-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Luke Serra | 19.0% | 23.9% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 18.5% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Nikolo Vo | 15.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 9.7% |
| Emily Avey | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 3.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 17.3% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Kahle | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 13.5% |
| Ben Lewis | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.