← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego0.79+5.20vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.66+4.64vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis-0.72+9.85vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.77+2.15vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.38vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay-1.72+10.77vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.97+6.39vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.59-1.00vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.07+5.09vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.87vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.93+2.30vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.16vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.25-4.79vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.01-4.39vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-0.51vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.15-1.73vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego0.01-7.58vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-8.62vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-0.90-5.87vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-2.39-1.12vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.96-3.60vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-5.23vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-1.96-5.54vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay-1.72-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
-
12.85University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.15University of California at Los Angeles0.770.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
16.77California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.0Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
-
14.09University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
13.3University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.21University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
-
9.61San Diego State University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
14.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
-
14.27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.42University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
-
9.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
-
13.13Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
18.88Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
-
17.4University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
-
16.77California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
-
17.46University of California at Davis-1.960.0%1st Place
-
16.77California State University Monterey Bay-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Reuter | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Collignon | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noam Elroi | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yasminna Sanchez | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Cook | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wilson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.